GEELONG are outsiders towards flag favourites Richmond this weekend, however punters ought to take observe — that’s when the Cats are most harmful.
Over the previous decade, Chris Scott’s males have one of the best report of any staff when heading right into a match because the underdog. The Cats have gained eight of their 12 video games this season and sit fourth on the ladder heading into spherical 13.
Richmond are two locations above the Cats, however they’ve misplaced two of their previous 4 matches, together with final weekend’s defeat to Port Adelaide. They shall be itching to hit again on Sunday and repeat their thrashing of Geelong in final 12 months’s preliminary last.
VENUE HOODOO? WHY GEELONG CAN CONQUER MCG WOES
GEELONG ($2.60) V RICHMOND ($1.50)
MCG, SUNDAY, Three.20pm
DURING the previous decade, Geelong has been far and away one of the best staff to choose after they have been the underdog.
The Cats have gained 54 per cent of their matches after they have been the outsider, with Sydney the following greatest (41 per cent), then Collingwood and Hawthorn (40).
Chris Scott’s males, who’re $2.60 with TAB to get the 4 factors on Sunday, shall be up towards it making an attempt to defeat the $Four premiership favorite Tigers, who’re the one facet this season that hasn’t been concerned in an upset.
Richmond has gained the previous 15 matches on the residence of soccer, whereas the Cats have solely gained half of their previous 10 matches there. The Tigers’ win in final 12 months’s qualifying last ended Geelong’s 13-game successful streak towards them, which dated again to 2007.
The 51-point thrashing that put Richmond into the preliminary last was the primary time Joel Selwood had misplaced to the Tigers. The Cats skipper has solely polled six Brownlow Medal votes towards the Tigers, the second fewest after the Bulldogs (4).
TEAMS WIN % AS UNDERDOG SINCE 2008
33% North Melbourne
LATEST AFL MARKETS: TAB ODDS
PORT ADELAIDE ($1.12) V WESTERN BULLDOGS ($7)
ADELAIDE OVAL, THURSDAY, 7.50pm
THE Western Bulldogs are at their longest odds with TAB to win a match since their triumph within the 2016 Grand Final. The final time the sons of the west, who’re $6.50 to defeat the Power, had been this huge an underdog was in Round Three, 2015 when as a $10 likelihood, they misplaced to Hawthorn by 70 factors in Launceston.
The third favorite to win the Brownlow Medal, Jack Macrae, shall be hoping to notch some extra votes on Thursday evening to get him nearer to $Three favorite Tom Mitchell and $6 likelihood Max Gawn.
Macrae, who’s $7 to win the sport’s highest particular person accolade, averages 29 possessions in his six matches towards the Power. In their most up-to-date fixture, Macrae had 41 disposals, seven tackles and eight clearances in the most effective video games of his profession.
CROWS UP AGAINST IT
HAWTHORN ($1.60) V ADELAIDE ($2.35)
MCG, SATURDAY, 7.25pm
ADELAIDE has solely gained 4 video games out of 35 since 2008 when it has come to Victoria as underdog. The Crows’ successful proportion of 13 per cent in these circumstances is simply marginally higher than GWS, at 10 per cent, and Gold Coast, at 7 per cent. Don Pyke’s males are $2.20 with TAB to win on Saturday evening and snap a three-game dropping streak.
Hawthorn has gained eight of the previous 9 towards the Crows, nevertheless it did lose the final time they met on the MCG, in Round 2 final season. It was Rory Sloane (25 touches and 15 tackles) and Tom Lynch (31 disposals and 14 marks) who helped the Crows prevail that day after trailing by 13 factors at halftime.
The Crows have been unable to cease Tom Mitchell of their previous three matches towards the ball magnet with Mitchell amassing 108 disposals, 19 clearances and three objectives.
INTERSTATE TEAMS IN VICTORIA AS THE UNDERDOG (since 2008)
28% Port Adelaide
20% West Coast
7% Gold Coast
THE PUNT SPECIAL
Socceroos to not concede a aim within the first half v France at $Three. Market is situated below Today’s Specials at tab.com.au and the TAB app.
NICK QUINN’S BEST BETS
MOONEE VALLEY — Saturday 12.50pm
Race Three, No. 5 ARTIE DEE TWO ($2.50)
From the highly effective Darren Weir secure and gained effectively two begins in the past over 1200 metres. A distance specialist with 4 wins from eight makes an attempt and appears an early financial institution builder on this system.
MOONEE VALLEY — Saturday 2.05pm
Race 5, No. Three INN KEEPER ($2.80)
There is not any type like successful type and Inn Keeper has gained all 4 begins this marketing campaign and is once more value sticking with as he races his approach via the grades.
SYDNEY V WEST COAST
West Coast +13.5 ($1.85)
The Eagles are sitting on high of the desk having misplaced simply as soon as in 11 video games this season and but are given a 13.5 level begin towards a Sydney Swans facet whose type on the SCG this season has been underwhelming together with losses to Port Adelaide, Adelaide and North Melbourne.
HAWTHORN V ADELAIDE
The Crows are a shadow of the facet that topped the house and away ladder on the finish of 2016 and look ripe for the choosing towards a Hawthorn facet needing to win with the intention to maintain their finals possibilities alive.
AUSTRALIA ($13) V FRANCE ($1.22)
KAZAN, SATURDAY 8pm (AEST)
FOOTBALL mastermind Jose Mourinho’s gorgeous prediction that Australia will advance from Group C alongside France has fallen on deaf ears, with the Les Bleus all the fashion to kickstart the 2018 World Cup with a victory over the Socceroos.
France ($1.20) has attracted a whopping 91 per cent of the cash wagered with TAB forward of its World Cup opener on Saturday evening. The new-look Socceroos ($13) have been friendless in betting (4 per cent), with an extra two per cent of hopefuls banking on a draw. Making issues worse for the Socceroos, France shall be eager to bounce again from a sloppy 1-1 draw towards United States within the last tune-up recreation.
Should world No. 7 France prevail — as anticipated — the Socceroos should defeat one or each of Denmark and Peru to qualify for the second spherical.
New Socceroos coach Bert van Marwijk is about to blood 17 World Cup debutants, with solely six Brazil 2014 survivors making the lower for Russia.
Soccer followers will have the ability to watch the Socceroos match and each different match of the match dwell in excessive definition in TAB venues throughout the World Cup.
GET IN!: WORLD CUP PREDICTOR & OFFICE SWEEP
LATEST WORLD CUP MARKETS: TAB ODDS
BRAZIL ON TOP
NEYMAR’S long-awaited return from damage has catapulted Brazil ($5), essentially the most profitable nation in World Cup historical past, to outright favouritism forward of Russia 2018.
The soccer tremendous energy has attracted 19 per cent of all cash wagered with TAB to increase its report to 6 FIFA World Cup Trophies.
Neymar has scored chic objectives in every of Brazil’s most up-to-date tune-up video games.
The Three-Zero victory over Austria final Monday (AEST) was Neymar’s first begin for the reason that metatarsal setback final February. It was additionally the primary time the quartet of Neymar, Jesus, Coutinho and Willian had began a recreation collectively.
Reigning World Cup champions Germany ($5.50) are subsequent greatest, with 18 per cent of the win pool. Lionel Messi’s Argentina ($10) has attracted 12 per cent, whereas France ($7.50) and Belgium ($11) spherical out the highest 5 best-backed nations to win the World Cup.
BRAZILIAN star Neymar is the favored elect to be the highest aim scorer on the World Cup.
Neymar sits on the second line of betting with TAB at $10, behind famous person Lionel Messi ($9), who booted 4 objectives within the 2014 World Cup.
TAB took a $6000 wager on Monday on Neymar to kick essentially the most objectives within the match.
French and Atlético Madrid ahead Antoine Griezmann, who continues to be linked with La Liga powerhouse Barcelona FC, has been the second best-backed with 12 per cent of the TAB’s market.
Premier League striker Romelu Lukaku ($17) may very well be the choose of the roughies with Belgium anticipated to go deep and problem for the title. While not in high aim scorer calculations, Socceroo Tim Cahill ($201) wants one aim to affix Pele, Uwe Seeler and Miroslav Klose as the one males in soccer historical past to attain at 4 separate World Cup finals.
THE SUPERSTARS SET TO LIGHT UP THE WORLD CUP
WORLD CUP: BEST BETS FOR RUSSIA 2018
THE BEGINNER’S GUIDE TO THE WORLD CUP
FRANCE ($1.28) and Brazil ($1.28) are thought of locks to advance to the World Cup knockout stage because the top-ranked nations in Group C and D respectively.
Germany ($1.33) is the raging favorite to win Group F, whereas Belgium ($1.75) may add worth for punters in multis as the highest seed for Group G. With soccer minnows Panama and Tunisia within the group, Belgium want solely deal with World Cup whipping boys England to cement high spot.
TAB prospects have the prospect to win $1,000,000 within the World Cup Final by going to TAB.com.au earlier than 1am Friday and choosing all eight group winners to be within the operating.
One fortunate entrant, who efficiently suggestions all eight group winners, shall be given the chance to strike it wealthy by tipping the primary aim scorer within the Final. If the participant they choose kicks the primary aim within the Final, they’ll win $1 million.
KING’S STAND STAKES
ROYAL ASCOT, WEDNESDAY 12.45am (AEST)
TWO of the world’s greatest sprinters collide within the Group 1 King’s Stand Stakes (1006m) on the opening day at Royal Ascot in England.
Battaash ($Three.30) appears to be like set to begin favorite towards the Wesley Ward-trained sprinter Lady Aurelia ($Three.80), who’s trying to defend her King’s Stand crown.
The American filly gained the Queen Mary Stakes in 2016 and backed up with an equally eye-catching run within the King’s Stand final 12 months.
Group 2-placed sprinter Kachy ($eight) should enhance a number of lengths to enter into what looms as a two-horse match-race. Battaash is the shape sprinter, having gained 5 of his previous six outings.
Australian Group 1 winner Merchant Navy, now with Coolmore coach Aidan O’Brien, and Redkirk Warrior ($eight) are each anticipated to pursue the Diamond Jubilee, famously gained by Black Caviar, on the carnival’s last day.
DYNA CHANCER (Race Four, Box Three)
SANDOWN, FRIDAY 7.07pm
A flexible and sublimely gifted greyhound who returns to Melbourne after discovering his share of bother in a a lot tougher race in Brisbane final begin.
TORNADO VALLEY (Race 6, No. 7)
TABCORP PARK MELTON, SATURDAY 7.30pm
This fella’s last-start win at Ballarat needed to be seen to be believed and he has firmly stamped himself as one of the best trotter in Australia.
JON ANDERSON’S BEST BETS
IN an occasion that’s $10 the sector, think about the $21 on supply about Rickie Fowler to notch his first main after ending second within the US Masters. He drove to the venue Shinnecock Hills and peeled off an off-the-cuff 65.
Would like to be suggesting backing the Socceroos on the odds, however can’t see the French being overwhelmed and unsure we’ll rating. So take a look at each the $13 about Four-Zero and $6.50 on supply for Three-Zero.
Fancy the Blues to trigger an upset over Freo and reckon the Cats have rather a lot to show after being flogged on the MCG by the Tigers final 12 months. And assume St Kilda will lastly present one thing.
LEG 1 — Sydney $1.50
LEG 2 — Carlton $2.35
LEG Three — St Kilda $1.60
LEG Four — Geelong $2.60
Think! About your decisions. Call Gambler’s Help Gambling Help or the ACT Gambling Counselling and Support Service on 1800 858 858 www.gamblinghelp.nsw.gov.au or www.gamblinghelponline.org.au Don’t chase your losses. Walk away. Gamble responsibly.
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